The MEP dollar and the CCL climbed up to 2% in two days: does the market begin to disarm “Carry Trade”?

The MEP dollar and the CCL climbed up to 2% in two days: does the market begin to disarm “Carry Trade”?

Financial dollars closed again This Tuesday, February 4, in the middle of a tense climate in international markets. Faced with a strengthening of the American currency in the world, in the market they wonder if there will not have begun a disarmament of “carry” at the local level.

The imposition of US tariffs Mexico, Canada and Chinawhich began the commercial war, strengthened the dollar globallyagainst the rhythm of the CRAWLING PEG local that fell from 2% to 1% monthly for the official exchange rate.

In this agitated context on the global plane, the MEP It rose $ 9.18 (+0.8%), which added to $ 14.03 (+1%) on Monday, to place themselves in the $ 1,188. In this way it reaches a nominal maximum since November 15, when this currency touched the $ 1,096. The gap With the officer it was located in the 12.7%, the highest figure since December 30.

For its part, the CCL dollar It climbed $ 4.15 (+0.4%) to $ 1,199.70so the spred with the wholesaler It was positioned at 13.8%.

“Today the dollar rose again although there was less intervention than yesterday. We believe that what there is is a disarma“said financial analyst Nicolás Capella.

In the official market, the Central Bank (BCRA) bought U $ S9 million In his speech on Tuesday and scored his fourth positive balance in line. However, the bleeding of International reservesthat fell U $ 29 million on this day and that already accumulate nine casualties on 11 wheels. In that period, they carry a red US $ 1,165 million.

In that context, the reserves were located in U $ 29,427 million After rising some US $ 1,149 million On the previous day, at the beginning of February.

How much the official dollar was closed today, Tuesday, February 4

In the official change market, the Wholesale dollar It was offered to $ 1,054.25, same value on Monday.

It is worth remembering that as of this month, as announced by the Central Bank (BCRA), The official exchange rate will run at a rate of 1% monthly. In January, the rise ended up being 2.1%.

How much was the future dollar today, Tuesday, February 4

The future dollar contracts marked the majority of increases, despite the downward adjustment in the “crawling PEG”. Christian Buter said that this divergence responds more to international factors than local factorslinked to the tariff threats of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, which strengthens the US currency and weakens the rest, in a framework of generalized uncertainty.

With the variations on Tuesday, The “Price” market an increase of 1.5% for the official dollar in February and 1.6% for the average of the next four months. Walter Morales, president of Wise, clarified in dialogue with scope that the futures “are a game of rates” and that, to the extent that the BCRA ratifies the “crawling” of 1%, the ROFEX contracts will quickly adjust quickly .

Annualized nominal rates (TNA) converge to the 20% area for the middle of the year. The estimated official exchange rate for June is $ 1,141.50.

How much did the blue dollar operated today, Tuesday, February 4

He dollar blue quoted at $ 1,215, Therefore, the gap was 15.3%.

How much was offered The MEP dollar today, Tuesday, February 4

He MEP dollar operates a $ 1,184.30, So the gap with the officer is located in the 12.3%.

CCL dollar value today, Tuesday, February 4

He dollar Counted with liquidation (CCL) is sold to $ 1,194.09 and the Spread with the officer is positioned at 13.3%.

Dollar price today, Tuesday, February 4

He Card or tourist dollarand the Savings dollar (either solidary) operated a $ 1,396.85.

Crypt dollar price today, Tuesday, February 4

He Crypto dollar or Bitcoin dollar quote a $ 1-195.99, according to Bitso.

Bitcoin value today, Tuesday, February 4

He Bitcoin, The most popular cryptocurrency on the market, operates U $ S100,357.61, according to Binance.

Source: Ambito

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