After several studies and research carried out by a group of scientists from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and that captivated their attention, the object was baptized as 2024 YR4 And it has 90 meters in diameter.
The object has a 1.5% probability collision on our planet, and although the risk seems low, they are the chances higher ever registered. NASA with the European Space Agency (ESA), began to mobilize to evaluate possible mitigation strategies.
When could the asteroid collide on Earth
He 2024 YR4 It was discovered in December 2024 and classified with a Level 3 in the Turin Impact Risk Scaleindicating that, although an imminent threat is not required, detailed surveillance and analysis of its movements and advances.
The US space agency carried out a series of exams that determined that the impact of this object could occur December 22, 2032. At the moment, his blow to the Land It would not mean a serious global risk, but it would cause big problems in the area or region where it falls.
“The analysis of this asteroid near Earth, designated 2024 YR4indicates that it has more than 1% possibilities To impact with the earth, which also means that there is a 99% probability that it does not impact. This initial analysis will change over time as Collect more observations“NASA said.
How the UN planetary security protocol works
The UN He launched security mechanisms to monitor his path and Evaluate real risk. Within the measures adopted, the International asteroid alert network (IawN) and him Space Missions Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG), directed by NASA and ESA.
These organizations will be responsible for proposing Action strategiesincluding the possibility of divert the trajectory of the asteroid through a spacecraft, a technique already successfully tested in the mission Dart in 2022.
Where the asteroid will fall
The First projections determined that Europe It is not among the danger zones, according to an article on the El Confidencial site. However, Five regions of the planet They could be affected: the east of the Pacific Ocean, northern South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa and southern Asia.
The largest certainties will arise in 2028 When the asteroid approaches 8 million kilometers from Earth and more precise calculations are made about what will happen. In case of impact, the energy released would be similar to that of a Nuclear explosionwith consequences similar to those produced in Tunguska in 1908.
Source: Ambito
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