With the bonus in hand, we review the best alternatives to invest according to the risk profile and the local and international economic scenario.
With the bonus in the account, the key question comes: what to invest? In this column we review the best options according to the profile of each investor, with strategies designed for different time horizons and in tune with the local and international macroeconomic context.
To start, it is key to understand the macro scenario. At the local level, the latest data were clearly positive: May’s CPI was located in 1.5%below all private measurements; The government achieved a Primary surplus of 0.3%and a Improvement in consumptionthat a 8% year -on -year and 0.5% monthly.
At the international level, the markets moved with Low volatilityeven with geopolitical tension in the Middle East. In this framework, Gold, oil and soy They showed advances, positioning themselves as natural coverage against global risk.
Aguinaldo: Strategy for a moderate profile
For an investor with Moderate profilewe propose a simple and balanced strategy in two assets, with an allocation of the 50% to each:
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LECAP August (S29G5): With one Tem close to 2.3%it is a good option in a stable exchange rate context and downward inflation.
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BONAR 2030 (AL30): With one 13%offers implicit exchange coverage. In addition, the July 9 pays USD 8.33 per 100 nominal valuecombining income and amortization.
This combination allows harmonize coins and reduce exposure to surprising shocks, keeping liquidity and attractive return.
Aguinaldo: Strategy for aggressive profile
For an investor with horizon greater than one year and more aggressive profilewe propose a diversification that maintains a part in local currency and another in dollars:
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50% in LECAP August (S29G5): For the same above foundations.
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15% in Pan American Energy (PN36o): with 7% yieldsolid financial position and good operational perspective.
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15% in Bonar 2030 (AL30): For its liquid sovereign bonus profile, exchange coverage and high coupon.
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30% in dollarized shares:
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10% in northern gas transporter (TGNO4): Solid and defensive energy company.
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10% in Energy (view): With good guidance and exposure to the oil sector.
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10% in Mercado Libre (Meli): Regional growth commitment with solid foundations.
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Favorable climate for a balanced strategy
In recent days, the market received optimism principle of agreement between China and the United States To reduce tariff tensions, which prompted so much to fixed income assets as a variablegenerating generalized rises in global markets and an appreciation of emerging coins.
At the local level, the exchange rate showed stability within the range of $ 1,140 to $ 1,165and April inflation, which was 2.8%He confirmed that the price jump after the leaving of the stocks would have already been absorbed in March.
Faced with this scenario, we recommend maintaining a Conservative strategy in the short termat least until the legislative elections pass. A diversified portfolio, which combines assets in pesos with instruments in dollars, allows Capture opportunities without compromising the risk profile.
AT Investment Partner
Source: Ambito
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