Forsa Sunday question
Survey: These coalition options are currently in new elections
Which party would currently win the Bundestag election? Current survey values show and also which coalition options would arise in the Bundestag.
Since the beginning of May 2025, the black and red coalition under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has been in office and dignity. Would the alliance have a chance of a majority of government in the event of a federal election in the current week? Or has the opposition to the voters score so far?
Parties to the votes of the parties
The graphic below shows who the Germans would currently vote – and who are not. In addition, you can see in the long -term trend how the political mood in the country has developed since the Bundestag election in 2021.
At this point, our editorial team has integrated content from Datawrapper GmbH.
Due to their data protection settings, this content was not invited to protect their privacy.
Seat distribution in the Bundestag
The graphic below shows how many seats the parties in the Bundestag could be awarded and what possible majorities result. The calculation represents an approximation based on the survey values and no absolutely correct result. The five percent hurdle was taken into account, which is currently not awarded at the Südschleswig voters’ association (SSW) mandate. As a minority party, the SSW is freed from the blocking clause.
At this point, our editorial team has integrated content from Datawrapper GmbH.
Due to their data protection settings, this content was not invited to protect their privacy.
Survey, methodology and data
The Forsa opinion research institute determines weekly by telephone survey in the trend barometer for RTL Germany how the parties would do in a federal election on the following Sunday (Sunday question).
This collects various current election surveys and provides it on his website, among other information. The graphics in this article are automatically updated weekly when new data for the Sunday question is published.
At this point, our editorial team has integrated content from Datawrapper GmbH.
Due to their data protection settings, this content was not invited to protect their privacy.
The seat distribution is calculated based on the survey data according to the Sainte Laguë/Schepers procedure. The method has been used since 2009 to determine the distribution of seats after a federal election. First, the number of second votes cast is divided by the total number of seats to be distributed. A preliminary allocation divisor is determined, i.e. the number, through which the respective votes of the parties are shared. The results, i.e. the quotients, are rounded into seat numbers. The following applies: With a rest of more or less than 0.5, it is rounded up or rounded. In the case of a rest of exactly 0.5, the lot decides as it says. The divisor is determined in such a way that the number of seats in total match the total number of mandates to be awarded.
Source: Stern
I have been working in the news industry for over 6 years, first as a reporter and now as an editor. I have covered politics extensively, and my work has appeared in major newspapers and online news outlets around the world. In addition to my writing, I also contribute regularly to 24 Hours World.
