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Military expert Carlo Masala is very skeptical about former Chancellor Schröder’s mediation efforts in the Ukraine war. President Putin will not let Schröder deter him from his course.
Military expert Carlo Masala views former Chancellor Gerhard Schröder’s mediation efforts in the Ukraine war with great skepticism. in the star-Podcast “Ukraine – the situation” Masala said of Schröder’s talks with Russia’s President Vladimir Putin: “To put it bluntly, Schröder is Putin’s employee. I don’t think Putin will listen to his employees. For Putin, Schröder has the function of using his contacts to promote Russian interests in Germany and Europe.”
From a Russian perspective, Ukraine is an overarching issue of national importance, and President Putin will not let Schröder sway him from his course. “I don’t give that a realistic chance”, said the politics professor from the Bundeswehr University in Munich. According to his impression, Schröder is concerned “to uphold his own legacy here after being so heavily criticized after being so isolated”.
Military Expert Masala: “We will see much human suffering”
Masala said it is not yet clear whether direct talks between Russia and Ukraine could open the way to a negotiated settlement. But the fighting would certainly continue. The encirclement of Kyiv is central to Russia’s military goals. Masala believes a siege of the Ukrainian capital is likely.
At the same time, the bombing raids would continue. The city could withstand such pressure for a few weeks at most. “We will see much human suffering”, he said. This will lead to stronger condemnation of Russia and possibly to new sanctions. But it will also increase the pressure on Ukraine to negotiate a ceasefire and a political solution.
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dr Carlo Masala is Professor of International Politics at the Bundeswehr University in Munich.
The West can do little. There is still room for maneuver in the delivery of weapon systems. For example, reconnaissance radars could make artillery bombardment of cities more difficult. However, these would not bring about a turning point in the war.
Source: Stern
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