Are negotiations for a peace in Ukraine progressing? There is now a 15-point Russian plan for a possible compromise. Ukraine is suspicious.
Can the negotiations between the Ukrainian and Russian sides finally bring peace? The signals from the negotiators are still ambiguous; they vacillate between skepticism and cautious optimism. However, it is still a long way from talking about a breakthrough in the consultations.
It has since been confirmed that both sides are working on a document that could potentially be discussed by Kremlin chief Vladimir Putin and Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the near future.
Will the 15-point plan bring peace in the Ukraine war?
The London newspaper “Financial Times” (FT), citing five people who are familiar with the negotiations and who were not named, reports a 15-point plan that both warring parties are working on and which could show a possible solution to the war. There is “considerable progress on a preliminary peace plan,” writes the paper. The “several days old” document includes the following points, others are not known:
- Kyiv gives up its ambitions to join NATO.
- Ukraine renounces foreign military bases in the country.
- Disputes about Ukrainian state territory will be discussed in a later step.
- Ukraine should keep its own army.
- States such as the USA, Great Britain and Turkey should also guarantee Ukrainian security.
- In return, Russian troops withdraw from Ukraine.
The contents of the paper have so far only been indirectly confirmed by official sources. The Ukrainian presidential adviser Mykhailo Podoliak writes on Telegram that the 15-point plan reported by the FT only contains the Russian positions – “no more”. The Ukrainian demands are not taken into account. The only thing he can currently confirm as a basis for discussion is a ceasefire, a withdrawal of Russian troops and security guarantees from a number of states.
On the Ukrainian side there is great skepticism about Moscow’s possible willingness to compromise and an understandable, deep distrust of the Russian leadership.
Alexander Rodnyansky, another adviser to the Ukrainian president, believes the Kremlin’s offers are a “typical sham”. Russia’s alleged willingness to compromise is more about buying time to adapt its own strategy and to bring in more troops to start another offensive. “And meanwhile all of us in Europe, to give the people hope that there could be peace after all and that’s why tougher measures like an oil embargo are not necessary,” explains Rodnyansky on Wednesday evening in the ARD program “Maischberger. Die Woche”. attitude of Kiev.
Supposed peace solutions did not coincide with Russia’s military actions in Ukraine. “You have to remember that this is a regime that you’ve been talking to for more than 20 years, and every time you cheated,” says the presidential adviser, pointing to the lies from Moscow in connection with the annexation of Crimea and in the run-up to Russia’s invasion Ukraine. “If this regime now speaks and says they are interested in a peaceful solution, unfortunately we cannot believe much and we don’t want to either.”
What are Russia’s words worth?
In fact, the question is what Russia’s security promises are worth to its neighboring country. With the war of aggression, the Russian Federation not only blatantly violates international law, but also violates the binding agreement between Russia, Ukraine and the United States of 1994, which pledged the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine.
Despite all the skepticism, the Ukrainian President Zelenskyj now considers the negotiating positions to be more realistic than they were at the beginning of the war. According to his own statement, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov now has “certain hopes of reaching a compromise”.
Despite the 15-point plan, it is questionable whether Zelenskyy and Putin will actually meet in the near future to negotiate peace in Ukraine. Presidential Advisor Rodnyansky is pessimistic. “You have to be clear that this is a regime that is looking for a military solution and will continue to pursue it,” he says on ARD. “This means that the war unfortunately continues”
Swell: (subject to a fee, English), (Ukrainian) news agencies DPA and AFP
Source: Stern

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