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According to military expert Carlo Masala, the Ukrainian armed forces have increasingly better chances of repelling the Russian invasion. He explains why in star-Podcast “Ukraine – the situation”.
According to military expert Carlo Masala, the Ukrainian armed forces have increasingly better chances of repelling the Russian invasion. In the stern podcast “Ukraine – The Situation” on Friday, Masala doubts that the Russian army can overcome its major problems and reposition itself. “The chances that the Russian Federation will succeed are decreasing by the day,” says the politics professor at the Bundeswehr University in Munich. “It’s spinning now.”
“Ambivalent situation” in the Ukraine war
This results in “an ambivalent situation” for the West. Reluctance will continue to be exercised in the delivery of weapons, which can only be brought to Ukraine at great risk. So tanks would have to be loaded onto trains, which would then possibly be bombed. It remains the case that NATO wants to avoid being drawn directly into the conflict. On the other hand, a change can be seen: “There is this momentum where you think: Now the tide is turning in favor of the Ukrainian armed forces. And if you now deliver the appropriate equipment to Ukraine, then the Ukrainian army will be able to launch counter-offensives ‘ says Masala. “We’re at a completely different point than we were two weeks ago, when it was still about helping the Ukrainians defend themselves.”
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dr Carlo Masala is Professor of International Politics at the Bundeswehr University in Munich.
Masala points out that Russian President Vladimir Putin can of course see how the war is going. Generals have been deposed and there is speculation about Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s whereabouts. “Putin seems to be making a change in his inner circle,” says Masala.
He described the question of what concrete consequences the use of chemical or even nuclear weapons by Russia would have as still open. Masala pointed out that the US had drawn a “red line” and announced a massive response. At the same time, however, the question arises: “How credible is such a threat when NATO on the other side is doing everything it can to avoid being drawn into this conflict?”
Source: Stern
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