As Chancellor, who would have the best chances in a direct election? In a Forsa question, Olaf Scholz is ahead.
According to a Forsa survey, finance minister Olaf Scholz is still ahead in the direct duel between the candidates for chancellor.
According to the “trend barometer” from RTL and ntv, the SPD politician would receive 21 percent of the vote in a direct election. The Green candidate Annalena Baerbock would come to 18 percent, while CDU competitor Armin Laschet slipped to 15 percent. Not even half of the Union supporters would choose the CDU chairman as chancellor.
The Chancellor is not directly elected in Germany, but the popularity of the candidates can influence the election result. There had already been several polls last weekend, according to which Scholz overtook the competition in favor of the voters.
However, such surveys are always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. The Forsa Institute gives a statistical margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.
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