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Military expert Carlo Masala expects that Russia will only be ready for serious peace negotiations if the offensive in Ukraine is stopped. For this, Ukraine needs weapons from the West.
Military expert Carlo Masala expects that Russia will only be ready for serious peace negotiations if its offensive in Ukraine is halted – which would require weapons from the West. Masala said on Friday in the star-Podcast “Ukraine – the situation”: “The delivery of heavy weapons is the only guarantee that the Ukrainian army can repel the large-scale offensive of the Russian armed forces.”
Arms deliveries could force Russia to negotiate
The politics professor from the Bundeswehr University in Munich contradicted the argument that arms deliveries would increase suffering in the war zone. He pointed out that there were almost no heavy Ukrainian weapons in the destroyed city of Mariupol. “We can already see how brutal and horrible the war is in the way the Russian operations are conducted,” he said. He made it clear that turning them over to Russian forces was not a way to protect the Ukrainian population. The best conditions for peace negotiations and an end to the war exist when Russia fears that by continuing the fighting it will lose more than it can gain. “Then they will negotiate with a serious interest,” Masala said.
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dr Carlo Masala is Professor of International Politics at the Bundeswehr University in Munich.
At the same time, the security expert made it clear that the West must keep an eye on the risk of the conflict escalating beyond Ukraine. He does too. The western states would not have reacted to Russian threats with nuclear weapons in order not to start a spiral of escalation. The West is also not talking about regime change in Moscow, with the exception of a later relativized comment by US President Joe Biden.
“Attack on NATO relatively impossible”
Masala acknowledged that the danger of falling victim to nuclear war in Central Europe may be greater today than during the East-West confrontation of the 20th century. “It was lower during the Cold War in that the parameters were clear,” he said. Today, on the other hand, Russia’s behavior is less predictable. However, a global conflict is certainly not in Russia’s interest: “I think an attack on NATO is relatively out of the question, because that would end in an uncontrollable conflict that would potentially always include the destruction of the Russian Federation,” he said.
Source: Stern
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