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The military expert Carlo Masala sees the world at the beginning of a new Cold War, which will also reduce the prosperity of the Germans.
The military expert Carlo Masala sees the world at the beginning of a new Cold War, which will also reduce the prosperity of the Germans. Masala said on Friday in the star– “Ukraine – the situation”: “We will come to a kind of Cold War 2.0 in the next few years.” He referred to the declaration of the so-called Brics states. These countries – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – want to deepen their cooperation. At the same time, the European Union is “returning to an initial motive” – namely to form a counter-power against an imperial Russia. It shows “the beginning of a global bloc formation that we will move towards”. That will also have economic consequences: “We will have to put up with a loss of prosperity.”
Carlo Masala: No future for the “old system of vocabulary”
Masala spoke of a “phase of deglobalization”. According to the political scientist from the Bundeswehr University in Munich, Germany will not be able to benefit from international trade as it has in the past. “The old system of producing, doing business, making profits – that will no longer be the case in the future,” he said. “The way in which prosperity has come to the Federal Republic in the last two decades as a result of globalization can no longer be continued.” In the short term, he expects high burdens, for example due to rising energy prices, but clearly moderate changes in the long term.
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dr Carlo Masala is Professor of International Politics at the Bundeswehr University in Munich.
In the Ukraine war, Masala believes a ceasefire offer from Russia is possible if Russian troops succeed in taking full control of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions. Ukraine will reject an offer on this basis. But such a scenario could certainly have an impact on Western societies. “That will be with a view to autumn and winter, the war is now affecting all households, then the social mood may change,” said Masala. He did not rule out that Russia could benefit from a tactically deployed offer. “It is quite possible that governments will put pressure on Kyiv to go to the negotiating table in view of the domestic political situation,” he said. It can already be observed that “the war is no longer so present in people’s minds”.
Source: Stern
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