In the US, the nomination of candidates for the midterm elections ends. The Republicans show that those who lack the support of Donald Trump have a bad hand. The candidacy for the next presidential election is therefore certain.
Now that the process of choosing candidates in the United States is almost complete, the crucial question is no longer whether, but when Donald Trump will announce his candidacy for the presidency. The primaries for the so-called midterms in November may not be a triumph of the Trump faction within the Republicans, but they are a more than clear signal that the ex-president has the party completely under control.
Not much happens without Trump behind you
One or two figures: In early 2021, ten Conservative MPs dared to vote for Trump’s impeachment, thereby drawing the wrath of the outgoing president. Four of them didn’t even stand for re-election, four were voted out (including one of the most vocal critics, Liz Cheney) and only two survived the primaries politically. In other words, if you don’t know that the former head of state is on your side, you’ll have a hard time with the conservatives.
Midterm elections are held in the United States every two years. Parts of the Senate and the entire House of Representatives will be redefined. The election is not just a vote on the government’s course, but also a test run for the opposition. And there, more and more right-wing hardliners seem to be asserting themselves, who without scruple continue to spread Trump’s lies about a “stolen election” and accuse the federal police, the FBI, that the raid on the ex-president was “politically motivated”.
Even bad headlines are headlines
It is still uncertain whether the spectacular house search, during which secret state documents were apparently confiscated, will help or harm a candidate Donald Trump. But she certainly got him back in the headlines. Which he obviously needed, if you believe polls. Because at the end of July, half of the Republicans wanted a different presidential candidate than the former president. However, just a quarter of Republicans support the number two in the party’s popularity ranking, Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida.
Among the Conservatives, the 43-year-old is the one most conspicuously pushing towards the White House. Politically, he is in no way inferior to the rigid right-wing populism of a former US president, but he is considered more skilful and clever than Donald Trump. He’s one of the few top Republicans who has yet to prove himself in the primary, although no one doubts his clear victory. He is also well ahead of his Democratic competitor Charlie Crist in the polls for the final gubernatorial election.
Physically, Donald Trump looks indestructible
However, DeSantis is relatively young and therefore still has time for many a presidential campaign. Unlike Donald Trump. He may appear physically indestructible, but he would be 78 years old in the next US elections at the end of the year after next. The long list of possible lawsuits could still be dangerous for him. Around 20 procedures are threatened: from sexual assault to tax fraud and espionage to electoral interference. Whether a possible conviction would exclude him from the candidacy or the election is disputed even among lawyers.
As of August 2022, everything indicates that Donald Trump will be campaigning for the third time. If he wants the Republican nomination, then “there will be a coronation,” says US political strategist John Thomas. The question that then remains is: Who is running for the Democrats? US President Joe Biden would like to do it again, especially if it were against Trump, but he is already too old for his party friends. But alternatives are rare. Should there be a duel between Biden and Trump again in 2024, the race should be extremely close. .
Sources: “”, AFP, RealClearPolitics, , “, “”, “”
Source: Stern
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