Fact check: does Donald Trump have a chance to become US President again?

Fact check: does Donald Trump have a chance to become US President again?

US President Joe Biden is troubled by the Afghanistan crisis and his popularity ratings are falling. Meanwhile, predecessor Donald Trump knows many Americans and party colleagues behind him unchanged. Could that pave the way for him to the White House again?

Is it true that Trump has a good chance of becoming US President again?

Yes, it’s possible. For many Americans, Donald Trump has never been gone since his election defeat, his supporters are loyal to him and two-thirds of US Republicans want to run again. At the same time, the popularity ratings of office successor Joe Biden are currently falling.

For this fact check, we analyzed dozens of current opinion polls. We use average values ​​from the available surveys so that outliers up or down are irrelevant. This results in this picture:

Joe Biden’s popularity is falling. The chances for Donald Trump are increasing.

For the first time since taking office in January 2021, the majority of Americans are dissatisfied with Biden. Around 49 percent think he’s not doing a good job. Only 47 percent are satisfied. In May of this year, Biden’s satisfaction rate was 55 percent.

In another important poll number, Biden crashes: over 60 percent of Americans agree with the statement: “Our country is on the wrong track.” In the popularity ranking, Biden is popular with 46.2 percent and not popular with 48 percent (as of September 3, 2021). The values ​​for Trump: popular with over 41 percent, unpopular with 52 percent.

Donald Trump – he was never gone for his supporters

For many Americans, Trump has never been gone since his election defeat. Trump interferes all the time. He is touring America this summer. Ohio, Alabama, Mexican border. He flies across the country pretending to be president. His supporters remain loyal to him, two-thirds of Republicans want him to run for the next election. In the primary elections in his party, he would have a good chance of being nominated again as a candidate.

Our star US correspondent reports in the: “If Trump wants to say something to the nation, he steps in the golf club in New Jersey at a desk with a fantasy seal stuck to it:” The Office of Donald Trump “. As if this were his new white House.”

Sources: / “Real Clear Politics”: (), () und () /

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