opinion
Who will be the next chancellor depends on the FDP and the Greens – and they use their power.
The voters distributed government contracts on Sunday, at least from the point of view of the election campaigners, which would easily be enough for two or three new coalitions. The top people were now sitting in the television studio in Berlin-Mitte and celebrating a result that evidently offered consolation and hope for everyone.
Olaf Scholz, the strangely successful Social Democrat, spoke of a “very clear” vote for his party. The Christian Democrat Armin Laschet, who was the second winner in the election based on the number of counts, bravely claimed: “This is what the citizens asked us to do” – and meant the formation of a government from the middle of the Bundestag. And so it continues. The Greens recognized a mandate to make the country climate neutral, the Liberals also saw their duty. Only a majority – nobody has that. At least not without the FDP and the Greens.
A party will elect a chancellor who is not to its taste
Now the normal course of events would be for the two big ones to invite the two smaller ones to talk. Then there is bargaining and promises and played off against each other. Calling – at least that’s how it used to be – could always be made by the one who had more voices; the majority procurers were allowed to withdraw. But it doesn’t work that way anymore.
The Greens and the FDP now want to coordinate directly. It is easy to imagine what this is about: a party will have to elect a chancellor who is not to their liking. Either Christian Lindner has to bring a sociologist into office, which is not easy for him. Or Annalena Baerbock – and the risen Robert Habeck – have to stand up for a conservative, which is not easy either. It costs.
In the future, the small group will rule
There was a lot of talk about the future, about content and that things should go quickly. But it also became clear that the time is over when a people’s party rallies its supporters and then brings a small party it is friendly with on board. The only coalition that nobody wanted in the elephant round was the big one – that is, the only two-party alliance that mathematically still works. In the future, the small group will rule, and it’s not just about who is the strongest, but also who has the best friends.

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