Is Angela Merkel still giving the New Year’s address? Or will the parties manage to agree on a coalition before Christmas? One thing is certain: there are still a lot of talks to be held before then.
After the federal election, the SPD, Greens and FDP in particular are spreading a lot of confidence in the negotiations on a new coalition. But even if everything goes well, the parties still have to complete a real marathon before the new government is formed.
Soundings
The explorations will continue on the weekend and the beginning of the coming week. On Sunday the SPD meets first with the FDP, then with the Greens in the evening. The Union wants to sound out with the FDP on Sunday evening at 6.30 p.m. and on Tuesday morning with the Greens.
Party congresses of the Greens
The Greens want to discuss the upcoming negotiations between the parties at a small party congress this Saturday – the state council – and use their exploratory teams to do so. There should be a second party congress – small or large – to decide whether to start official coalition negotiations.
Constituent session of the Bundestag
It is the only fixed factor in the appointments after the election. Because the Basic Law stipulates that the newly elected parliament must meet for the first time no later than 30 days after the election – that would be October 26th.
Coalition negotiations
When the bodies of all parties involved have given the green light, the way is clear for coalition negotiations. After the previous federal elections, there was a trend towards more thorough deliberations in order to make governance less conflict-prone.
But that doesn’t necessarily mean that the coalition negotiations will drag on forever. Four years ago, after the failed Jamaica explorations, negotiations began on a new edition of Black-Red on January 26, 2018. And on February 7, 2018, the leaders of the Union and the SPD were able to present a negotiated coalition agreement.
Strike votes
In any case, the Greens want their members to decide on a negotiated coalition agreement and the personnel table in an online ballot. The SPD is also considering getting the vote of the grassroots.
Government formation
If the coalition agreement is perfect and there is clarity about the allocation of responsibilities, things can go very quickly. Federal President Frank-Walter Steinmeier proposes a candidate for the office of Federal Chancellor, who is elected in the Bundestag without debate. The ministers are usually appointed on the day of the election.
The parties want to get the new government wrapped up before Christmas – according to the current signs of willingness to agree, this is not an unrealistic undertaking.
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