The AfD has been on the rise for a long time, at least in several East German countries. Now a current survey also shows high approval ratings for the right-wing populists in Brandenburg.
A year before the state elections in Brandenburg, the AfD is ahead of all other parties in favor of voters for the first time, according to a survey by Infratest-dimap. In the Sunday question, the AfD would get 32 percent, reported the RBB, citing the so-called Brandenburg trend on behalf of rbb24 Brandenburg aktuell and Antenne Brandenburg.
The SPD, which has been in power for more than 30 years, only got 20 percent – 2 percentage points less than in the previous survey by Infratest-dimap in April. The AfD gained 9 percentage points compared to the previous survey.
The CDU landed at 18 percent (-5), the Greens achieved 8 percent (-1). According to this status, the Left would also be represented in the state parliament with 8 percent (+1) and BVB/Free Voters with 6 percent (+1). The FDP is at 4 percent (-1) and would currently fail at the five percent hurdle, as it did in 2019 and 2014.
For the representative survey, 1,160 eligible voters in Brandenburg were surveyed from September 8th to 11th. The statistical error tolerance was not specified by the RBB.
Brandenburg will vote in September 2024
Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.
A survey by the market and opinion research institute IFM from May 22nd to June 1st saw the ruling SPD and the AfD still tied at 24 percent on the Sunday question.
In the 2019 state election, the SPD became the strongest force in the state parliament with 26.2 percent of the vote, followed by the AfD with 23.5 percent. The next state election is in September 2024.
Source: Stern
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