Next year, Saxony-Anhalt will elect a new state parliament. According to a new survey, the AfD would currently be the strongest force. What about the remaining parties?
If a new state parliament were elected for Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday, the AfD could become the strongest force, just ahead of the CDU, according to a new survey.
In the survey by the opinion research institute Insa on behalf of the “Bild” newspaper, the AfD came in at 33 percent and the CDU at 32 percent. With four percent of the vote, the FDP would fail the five percent hurdle and no longer enter the state parliament. That would mean the end of the current coalition of CDU, SPD and FDP. According to the survey, the Greens would get 5 percent, the Left would get 9 percent and the SPD would get 8 percent.
What alliance would be possible?
A Kenya coalition of the CDU, SPD and the Greens would be mathematically possible. Such an alliance existed between 2016 and 2021 and was not considered the CDU’s desired alliance by Prime Minister Reiner Haseloff.
Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. The institute states a statistical margin of error of 3.1 percentage points. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.
In the state elections on June 6, 2021, the CDU unexpectedly won clearly with 37.12 percent of the vote. The SPD achieved the worst result in its history in Saxony-Anhalt with just 8.41 percent. The FDP managed to re-enter the state parliament with 6.42 percent – and thus recommended itself as a potential partner. The Greens, who had previously been in government, achieved 5.94 percent. The AfD came second with 20.82 percent, falling short of its own goal of becoming the strongest party in the country. The Left achieved 10.99 percent.
Source: Stern
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