The lockdown is working, the peak of the fourth wave has just been reached, the numbers should slowly decline in the next few weeks. This emerges from the current forecast of the Covid forecast consortium on behalf of the Ministry of Health, which is available to the OÖNachrichten.
According to this, the number of new infections nationwide by next Wednesday should decrease to around 4,500 (10,400 were reported today), the number of intensive care patients by December 15 from around 650 to 440. The prognosis for Upper Austria looks similar. The consortium expects the number of new infections every day to drop to around 890 within a week (2200 today). The number of intensive care patients in Upper Austria is expected to drop to around 80 by December 15. As of today, 138 corona patients are in the intensive care unit.
“With a time lag from the preliminary high point of the fourth wave, the current surface prognosis assumes a decline in the surface area in intensive care and normal wards. However, this is still taking place at a partially system-critical high level of utilization, ”says the consortium’s paper.
“The decline in hospital beds forecast by the federal government will only become a reality if we adhere to the regulations,” says Deputy Governor Christine Haberlander (VP). It is about the “so important solidarity, the assumption of responsibility and cohesion in our society”.
Detailed analysis shows large differences in incidents
A detailed analysis of the province of Upper Austria shows a large difference in the incidence of unvaccinated and vaccinated people. Currently, the unvaccinated, at 2514, has a seven-day incidence that is more than six times higher than that of the vaccinated (403). In the course of October and November the values were consistently five to six times higher. Even at the maximum value of the seven-day incidence among the vaccinated on November 23 (571), that of the unvaccinated was almost six times higher at 3264.
“It can thus be clearly stated that the majority of the infection process takes place among the unvaccinated. This also shows that vaccination is the most effective means of preventing future restrictions such as we have to experience now, ”says Governor Thomas Stelzer (VP).
Source From: Nachrichten
