State elections: Election poll: BSW in Saxony and Thuringia in double digits

State elections: Election poll: BSW in Saxony and Thuringia in double digits

According to a survey, Wagenknecht’s party BSW can hope for double-digit results in the state elections in Thuringia and Saxony. The strongest party differs between states.

According to opinion polls, the Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) alliance is heading for double-digit results in the state elections in Saxony and Thuringia on September 1. As Forsa surveys in both states commissioned by “Stern” and RTL showed, the new party could achieve 13 percent in Saxony and 18 percent in Thuringia.

According to current polls, the CDU would become the strongest party in Saxony with 33 percent, followed by the AfD with 30 percent and the BSW. The SPD and the Greens would each make it into the state parliament with 6 percent, while the Left would no longer be represented with 3 percent. The other parties would reach 9 percent, including the FDP with less than 3 percent.

This could just about be enough for a continuation of the black-green-red coalition in Saxony – but only if the error tolerance of plus/minus three percentage points is ignored.

In Thuringia, the AfD would currently be the strongest party with 30 percent. The CDU with 21 percent and the BSW are behind. The Left, which currently has Bodo Ramelow as Prime Minister, only received 13 percent in the survey. The SPD would make it into the state parliament with 7 percent, while the Greens would miss this goal with 4 percent. The other parties received 7 percent, including the FDP with less than 3 percent.

Prime ministers more popular than their parties

In both states, the incumbent prime ministers are significantly more popular than their parties. In a direct election in Saxony, Michael Kretschmer (CDU) would receive 50 percent. Only 14 percent would vote for Jörg Urban from the AfD, and just 2 percent for Sabine Zimmermann from the BSW.

In Thuringia, Bodo Ramelow (Left Party) would receive 42 percent. 16 percent would vote for Björn Höcke (AfD), 10 percent for Mario Voigt (CDU) and 6 percent for Katja Wolf (BSW).

Election polls are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, polls only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.

Source: Stern

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