Voter migration in the state elections: AfD and BSW were able to win over many voters from the established parties. How the votes have flowed since the last elections.
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Voter migration in Brandenburg: quick checks on the parties
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Brandenburg: Overview of voter trends
A narrow victory for the SPD, gains for the AfD, a successful start for the BSW – the Greens and the Left are thrown out of the state parliament. There was a lot of movement in the voter flow in the 2024 state elections in Brandenburg. You can find quick checks on the individual parties below, and more detailed figures on voter migration in the infographic below.
Voter migration in Brandenburg: quick checks on the parties
The SPD took votes away from the Greens in particular, but also from the Left Party, the CDU and the BVB/FW. In addition, a number of non-voters decided to go to the polls this time and vote for the Social Democrats. The biggest losses were to the AfD and the BSW.
The AfD was able to steal votes from virtually all parties, with the CDU receiving the largest chunk. The party also mobilized a large number of non-voters. However, a number of former AfD voters also turned to the BSW, which was represented for the first time in this election.
The CDU was able to steal votes from the Greens, and a number of former non-voters voted for the Christian Democrats this time. There were losses to the previous coalition partner SPD, the AfD and the BSW.
The previously co-governing Green are also in a pretty ruffled state and were thrown out of the state parliament. They lost votes mainly to the coalition partners CDU and SPD, but also to BSW, AfD and the camp of non-voters.
The left had to let many voters go to the BSW of former party colleague Sahra Wagenknecht. She also lost votes to the AfD and SPD, as well as to BVB/FW and was unable to enter the state parliament again.
The Brandenburg United Citizens’ Movements/Free Votersin short: BVB/FW, was able to lure votes away from the Left and motivate some non-voters to go to the polls. There were losses to the SPD, AfD and BSW. The party did not manage to get back into the state parliament.
The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) also had a successful premiere in Brandenburg: Voters switched to the BSW, especially from the Left Party. But the newcomer also took votes away from the other established parties and was able to win over many previous non-voters.
For more details Click through the graphics below and see how voter flows changed for each party.
Brandenburg: Overview of voter trends
About the data used: Voter migration is a rough estimate that compares the migration flows between the last and the current elections. The election research institute Infratest Dimap determines the inflow and outflow of voters between the parties for the ARD. The basis is an estimation model that takes into account, among other things, surveys on election night (so-called exit polls), the result of the preliminary count on election Sunday, as well as changes in the electorate itself (such as new first-time voters).
Sources:
Source: Stern
I have been working in the news industry for over 6 years, first as a reporter and now as an editor. I have covered politics extensively, and my work has appeared in major newspapers and online news outlets around the world. In addition to my writing, I also contribute regularly to 24 Hours World.
