Exclusive
The FDP is worried about entering the next Bundestag. Most citizens don’t care. Only one group gives the party some hope.
In the state elections in Thuringia, just 1.1 percent voted for the Liberals. In Saxony only 0.9 percent. And in Brandenburg the party fell to 0.8 percent – the animal protection party got more than twice as many votes. In the nationwide polls, the Liberals have slipped below the five percent mark. If there were an election now, Christian Lindner’s party would be kicked out of the Bundestag. It would be the second time after 2013.
Only 37 percent would regret the FDP leaving
A current Forsa survey for the star reveals little pity for the party: 61 percent of Germans would not regret the Liberals leaving the Bundestag. 37 percent would find a parliament without the FDP bad. Two percent express no opinion.
What is particularly critical for the FDP is that 63 percent of its core clientele, the self-employed, would not regret leaving the Bundestag. There is only some sympathy among the CDU/CSU supporters, 54 percent of whom would miss the Liberals in parliament. The majority of voters from the other partners in the traffic light coalition, on the other hand, would not shed a tear for the FDP: 62 percent of SPD voters would not regret the departure of the Liberals, and even 76 percent of the Greens would regret it. The voters who still want to vote for the FDP today would be hurt by 88 percent of parliamentary exit.
A number of starHowever, the survey shows that not everything is lost for the FDP. Of the voters who voted for the FDP in 2021, 73 percent would regret leaving the Bundestag. At that time, the party achieved 11.5 percent with 5.3 million second votes. So, extrapolated, there are around 2.5 million people who have currently turned away from the FDP but would find a parliament without liberals bad. So there is definitely potential for a comeback.
The data was compiled by the market and opinion research institute forsa star and RTL Deutschland collected by telephone between September 26th and 27th, 2024. The survey is therefore representative. Database: 1007 surveys. Statistical margin of error: +/- 3 percentage points
Source: Stern
I have been working in the news industry for over 6 years, first as a reporter and now as an editor. I have covered politics extensively, and my work has appeared in major newspapers and online news outlets around the world. In addition to my writing, I also contribute regularly to 24 Hours World.
