For a long time there was little movement in Ukraine – but now things could happen quickly: security expert Christian Mölling expects “new realities” within months.
Security expert Christian Mölling expects a fundamental change in the situation in Ukraine in the coming months. “Before Joe Biden leaves office, a new reality will have long since unfolded,” he said on Friday star– “The situation – international”.
The handover of office to the winner of the US presidential election is scheduled for January 20th. Mölling emphasized that Ukraine must now prepare for the fact that support for it from the West will continue to dwindle. Since the end of the summer break, a change in the debate has been observed. The director of the Bertelsmann Foundation’s Europe program said: “There is a growing discussion around the question: Is there an exchange of peace for land? Or a ceasefire for land?” In these considerations, “the ceasefire comes with security guarantees and the country is not ceded in the sense of international law, but one first accepts the facts and then moves on.”
It is clear that in the end there must be really reliable guarantees that prevent Russia from attacking its neighbor again. It’s about security guarantees “that are so solid that it’s clear from day one: If a shot comes from Russia, you’ll go back in.”
Help is not enough for Ukraine to win
Mölling accused the West of only supporting Ukraine enough to prevent it from going under. This is a form of helplessness. Western countries have the industrial and financial capabilities to do more. “Ukraine can only do what we enable it to do,” he said. There are personnel problems in the Ukrainian armed forces that the West cannot help with. “With everything else, whether we put Ukraine in a position to win is our political choice.”
“Here, anyone who can saves themselves”
However, many actors see the prospect of an end to the fighting as a relief. “Those who can are saving themselves here,” he said, also with a view to the upcoming federal election campaign, in which Ukraine’s supporters could come under pressure from the right and left.
However, it would be an illusion to hope that after the fighting in Ukraine ends, a return to the conditions of previous decades would be possible. The world is undergoing a gigantic transformation that extends far beyond the Ukraine conflict and brings with it great risks.
Source: Stern
I have been working in the news industry for over 6 years, first as a reporter and now as an editor. I have covered politics extensively, and my work has appeared in major newspapers and online news outlets around the world. In addition to my writing, I also contribute regularly to 24 Hours World.
