Excitement in the Bundestag: what the dispute about migration policy is about

Shortly before the Bundestag election, the smoldering argument about the right course in migration policy escalates again. The triggers are several fatal attacks, most recently in Aschaffenburg, where the suspect are immigrants. The most important questions and answers:

What suggestions are on the table?

The Union plans to make two applications and a draft law in the Bundestag this week. The applications will be treated on Wednesday as so -called decision -making applications in the debate on the government declaration of Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD), the draft law on Friday.

The two applications deal with a general rejection of all asylum seekers at the German borders as well as a permanent detention of those who are obliged to leave that cannot be deported and do not leave voluntarily. Nasty double nationals who commit serious crimes should be able to lose German citizenship again.

The draft for a “law to limit the illegal influx of third -country nationals to Germany” is intended to end family reunification to refugees with limited protection status. If it meets the area of ​​responsibility, the federal police should carry out residence -related measures.

For its part, the SPD penetrates a vote on the long overdue reform of the Federal Police Act. In addition, for the first time, she wants to put the national implementation of the EU asylum reform and a number of additional powers for the security authorities on the agenda. The Greens have now urgently promoted once again to create the prerequisite for the new common European asylum system (GEAS). Among other things, it provides for asylum procedures for people from countries with a low protection rate at the EU external borders.

Who could agree to the individual proposals?

In any case, a simple majority of the valid votes cast is necessary. That means that more yes should be given than no votes. Containments are not counted.

According to fraction circles, the Union wants to be voted on on Wednesday. On the votes of the FDP, she can at least count in the application, which deals with a tightening of migration policy. The FDP parliamentary group rejects the other application in its current form because of what it believes that too large interventions in civil rights.

The AfD faction is difficult with the two applications because they also contain criticism of its party. However, she wants to agree with them.

The alliance Sahra Wagenknecht wants to vote for the so -called influx limitation law. According to the current status, she would “not assume approval” in the five-point plan against irregular migration-this is still open, said a party spokeswoman.

According to Wagenknecht’s words, another request from the Union with 27 points for internal security is “under no circumstances to us approval”.

Should there be no MPs that contain or are not present at the CDU/CSU, FDP, AfD and BSW in the end, there would be 372 votes when voting on the bill. The Bundestag currently has 733 MPs. So it would be enough. If not all MPs of these parties vote yes, it might be due to the voting behavior of the nine without a faction. Most of them used to belong to the AfD parliamentary group. You could also help the migration application to be successful.

The initiatives of the SPD and the Greens should probably not find a majority.

The group Die Linke plans not to agree to any project. MP Clara Bünger says: “Anyone who wants to prevent an act like that in Aschaffenburg has to deal with the structural causes of this violence.” It takes better access to psychological treatment for refugees, many of whom are very stressed by war, traumatic escape experience and inhumane accommodation.

Would something also change?

This is possible, although not very likely. Because the applications, which are to be on the agenda on Wednesday, are only appellative. It is different with the draft law with which the interior committee dealt with in November and which, after previous planning on Friday, could finally be discussed in the plenary. Since the draft provides to expand the competencies of the federal police and that affects the interests of the federal states, the Federal Council would have to agree. It is at least questionable whether this happens. In any case, it should trigger discussions in black and green state governments.

Are there any legal concerns?

Yes. And above all against some points that are included in the two applications – such as the revocation of German citizenship and general rejections. However, there are different opinions among experts on both questions.

In the rejections, the Union may also focus on the power of the factual. In other words, the Federal Government could implement the appropriate measures first and then see whether any lawsuit is successful before an administrative court or the Court of Justice of the European Union (ECJ).

Should the current federal government implement the law?

If the Federal Council should agree, yes. However, the Federal Council should only decide on the draft after the Bundestag election. Then the Federal President would have to sign the law. The publication in the Federal Law Gazette is crucial. As explorations and coalition negotiations are pending after the election, it could theoretically be that the red-green government would then have to act as an incumbent federal government.

Who uses the current debate in the election campaign?

That is still open. Surveys show that many citizens currently understand migration policy as a problem area. The fact that the Union is now increasing the pressure here again – just like the content of its suggestions – likes some voters. However, the announcement of her candidate for Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) to enforce your own ideas with votes from AfD and BSW, if necessary, could scare away other voters. The Greens believe that Merz has been fell into a trap that AfD chairman Alice Weidel had given him – with the aim of giving the appearance that the AfD is not radical, but a right -wing conservative party and thus part of the democratic spectrum.

What do the responsible interior ministers of the federal and state governments do?

The acts of violence by Mannheim, Solingen, Magdeburg and Aschaffenburg show that there is a need for action – in the event of deportation and the transfer of asylum seekers to the EU country responsible for their application. But even when it comes to not losing sight of foreigners who stand out due to threats or acts of violence. In a video conference, the interior ministers of the federal and state governments promised consequences in dealing with mentally ill -credits on Monday. Alleged perpetrators would have to be recognized at an early stage and information among the authorities was better exchanged, said Bremen’s interior senator Ulrich Mäurer (SPD), the currently chairman of the Interior Ministers’ Conference (IMK).

The interior committee of the Bundestag also deals again this Wednesday with the question of how to ensure that potential violent perpetrators without a German passport can be pulled out of circulation in good time or brought out of the country.