Sunday question: Germany trend: Union does not harm Union

If the Bundestag election was already the next Sunday, the Union would come to 31 percent of the vote after the current ARD Germany trend. Both the CDU and CSU and the AfD, which is now 21 percent, improve one percentage point each compared to the previous week.

The votes initiated by the Union on two applications and a draft law that dealt with immigration and internal security did not harm the conservative sister parties with a view to the election on February 23. The fact that Union Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) had accepted a majority with votes from the AfD in the Bundestag was sharply criticized by the SPD, the Greens and the left. At the weekend there were large demonstrations in several cities.

The Greens sees the representative survey by Infratest Dimap, which started on Monday and was running until Wednesday, currently at 14 percent (previous week 15 percent). The results of SPD (15 percent), left (5 percent) as well as FDP and BSW (4 percent each) remained unchanged.

In a survey by the opinion research institute YouGov between Friday evening and Tuesday, the SPD was able to significantly increase in voting favor, while the Union remained stable. In the Sunday question, the Social Democrats rose by three points to 18 percent compared to the previous week. The approval of the CDU/CSU was therefore unchanged at 29 percent. The second strongest force was still the AfD there, even if the party losen a point on YouGov and landed at 22 percent.

Election surveys are generally always affected with uncertainties. Among other things, waning party bindings and more and more short -term election decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes the weighting of the data collected. Basically, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not forecasts on the election outcome.