Trend barometer
Forsa survey shortly before the election: Lose CDU/CSU, FPD exactly on the border
Finale surveys: In the Forsa trend barometer shortly before the Bundestag election, CDU/CSU must be accepted, other parties are increasing. The fate of the FDP seems completely open.
Final spurt in the election campaign: Anyone who is still undecided with a view of their cross on Sunday should follow the final surveys before the Bundestag election. In particular, tactical voters are allegedly looking at the last surveys, especially the FDP. This is 5 percent in the Forsa trend barometer for RTL and NTV and thus on the border for the move to parliament. Whether the liberals are or not is decisive for the formation of majority -capable coalitions, more on this below.
The Union loses one percentage point in the trend barometer and is 29 percent. The SPD also drops a bit. The AfD can get again. The upward trend of the left continues, which are therefore certainly represented in the Bundestag. According to the survey, the BSW, according to the survey, has no chance of moving in with 3 percent approval.
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Of the four candidates for Chancellor, 35 percent of those who are entitled to vote are most likely to promote Friedrich Merz. 16 percent do not trust any of the four candidates. With a view to the approval of his own followers, Olaf Scholz is the worst: 68 percent of the SPD voters trust him to lead the country's leadership. All other candidates are over 80 percent with a view to their own camp.
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Survey: Groko only realistic two -ally - if the FDP is not in parliament
When forming a government coalition, the main question is how many parties make it into the Bundestag. In the FDP with a median of 5 percent, failure or skipping the five percent hurdle are so close together that both variants were calculated in the possible seat distribution. If the liberals were in parliament, there would only be a majorities necessary for a triple alliance. If the FDP fails to move in, black and red would have a majority, but not black-green. Black and blue would also have a majority, but is categorically excluded by CDU candidate for chancellor Friedrich Merz. A black and green and yellow alliance, on the other hand, was excluded by the FDP.
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About the data: Forsa carried out the representative survey on behalf of RTL and NTV for the trend barometer. Between the 17th and 20th of February 2025, voters were interviewed in 2002.
In addition to the political barometer, there are other surveys in the graphic below:
Political mood in Germany
Note: Select the desired source under "Institute". The latest survey is automatically preceded.
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Incidentally, about all current developments regarding the Bundestag election If the star live blog keeps it up to date, There is also The special star side to choose.
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Source: Stern
I have been working in the news industry for over 6 years, first as a reporter and now as an editor. I have covered politics extensively, and my work has appeared in major newspapers and online news outlets around the world. In addition to my writing, I also contribute regularly to 24 Hours World.
