Trump is “sour” – Putin must fear these measures

In an interview with NBC News, Donald Trump expressed his frustration about Russian President Vladimir Putin in connection with the hilking negotiations on a ceasefire in Ukraine. Trump literally said that he was “very angry” and “pissed off” (very angry and annoyed) because Putin questioned the credibility of Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj.

Where does the anger come from? The United States under Trump wants to bring about a comprehensive armistice as quickly as possible – all disputes should be negotiated afterwards. The reason: such conversations can take every month, if not for years. Continuing the war and negotiating in peace is therefore not an option for the USA.

Russia, on the other hand, fears that a comprehensive ceasefire could give Kiev unilaterally advantages without further conditions. Russia currently sees itself on the way to victory. Putin recently spoke for the first time that Russia was about to achieve his goals. In this case, a stop of the fighting would help the Ukrainians. They have time to train new recruits that the allies could bring weapons and equipment into the country unhindered, possibly even their own troops. Without guarantee that Kiev will take negotiations after the ceasefire, Russia therefore provides preconditions that Kiev rejects.

The background to this is that both warring parties are not as much of an end to the fights as Donald Trump. However, if the US government gets into a mutual ping pong of conditions and objections to the two countries, summer can pass without a ceasefire.

So the white house tries to bring both sides to the Räson. Selenskyj first had to find out in the Oval Office: When he didn’t want to play in the Trump concert, he was humiliated publicly and thrown out of the house. Then Trump stopped the US aid. The lack of new replenishment would only have been noticeable on the front after a few weeks. So Trump stopped American support in recording and investigating Russian military goals and banned the allies of making US data available. For this purpose, members of his government reminded the option of capsing the Ukrainians the communication via the Starlink satellite system. The result followed promptly: Kyiv had to give in.

Selenskyj brought Trump to the US course in his typical Bully style-what could a similar Trump shock look like for Putin? In the interview, Trump only threatened with further economic sanctions. But economic sanctions work in the long term – if at all. They are not suitable to give Kyiv air in the next few months. In order to shock Putin, the United States would have to demonstrate how they could help Kiev militarily and do things that have previously avoided. Experts speculate that threats of cyber attacks on Russian infrastructure would also be conceivable.

A fundamental turn in the floor war can hardly be reached. The front is long and Kiev troops are exhausted. More US equipment would certainly be welcome, but, if at all, would only work after months and could not solve Kiev’s problem of missing recruits that are supposed to operate these weapons. Targeted attacks on facilities in Russian hinterland could lead to a rethink. This could be done by far-reaching Atacms rockets. Ukraine recently confirmed the first ATACMS missions against Russian goals, but with a limited reach. It would be conceivable to deliver cruise missiles from the USA or to encourage Berlin to make the Taurus available, but the Ukrainian jets would have to be transferred for such operations beforehand.

It would have to be a variety of sensitive strokes – individual hits would hardly dissuade Putin from his course. However, if such operations do not lead to great success, this strategy would run into nothing. The possibility of systematically and in the long term to support Kiev more militarily would be Trump at most unwelcome. It would mean not ending the war in Ukraine quickly, but more intensively. Trump wants to solve the United States from this conflict, also because it wants to be prepared for other conflicts – for example against Iran or China. With more commitment, he would permanently bind the United States to the conflict in Eastern Europe. The Kremlin has probably recognized this dilemma and speculated on the little willingness of Trump to escalate.

Further economic sanctions and measures against the shadow fleet, which distributes Moscow oil, have no effect over a period of a few weeks; You can weaken Russia at the earliest in the medium term. The Russian shadow fleet has so far successfully circumvented sanctions through third countries such as Turkey. In addition, the number of countries against which the US President wants to impose punitive tariffs and other things has become unmistakably long.

Trump not only leads an economic war against Russia, but now against half the world. How his project will go out is unclear. The “punitive tariff” panacea is also to be tightened against Russia. Trump is considering punishing countries that continue to do business with Russia. India would be affected. It is completely open whether the Indian government would obey or could turn away from the United States.