Government formation: Juso leadership says no-SPD leadership holds against it

Before the start of the SPD membership vote on the coalition agreement with the Union, the party leadership urgently promoted approval and warned of a failure. “I want us not to duck away and I want us to design the future of this country,” said party leader Lars Klingbeil at a dialogue conference in Hanover. Previously, the Juso Federal Executive Board and several national associations of the party youth had made a clear against the coalition agreement due to the migration and social resolutions.

Klingbeil replied that this invoice would not work. “If that fails, there will be new elections, or then there may be a minority government.” However, there will be no renegotiations. Instead, there is a risk that the forces in the Union are strengthened, which are for normalizing the relationship to the AfD. “If we fail, then they will be louder.”

Decide a good 358,000 SPD members

More than 358,000 members of the SPD can vote on the coalition agreement with the Union from Tuesday. At 8:00 a.m., an online platform is to be activated, on which the social democrats can hand over their voices by April 29 at 11:59 p.m. The result is to be announced on April 30th.

Not only the majority of the votes, but also a participation of at least 20 percent of the members in purely digital coordination is required for the acceptance of the coalition agreement.

With the minimum wage of 15 euros or the tax cut for low and medium -sized incomes, the SPD has enforced some campaign promises in the coalition negotiations. However, the planned tightening of migration and social policy are controversial.

Juso boss: “Our vote is rejection”

The management of the Jusos does not want to agree with the contract. The youth organization belongs to about twelve percent of the party members. “Our vote is rejection,” said Juso chairman Philipp Türmer RTL and NTV. “There were significant improvements to the approval of the Jusos.” The Federal Executive Board came to this attitude in close coordination with the state and district associations.

The financing reservation stipulated in the contract was a “ticking time bomb”, complained by the Juso boss. “There were significant improvements to the approval of the Jusos.” Several regional associations of the Jusos have also criticized the agreements in the coalition agreement and spoke out against approval.

Four options for action at no of the SPD

If the coalition agreement fails at the vote of the SPD, there are four options for action, which are all difficult to imagine.

1. As required, it is renegotiated as required: the willingness to impose the coalition agreement again should be extremely low for CDU boss Friedrich Merz. He himself has enough to do with convincing his own party of the result. Many in the Union believe that the designated Chancellor let the SPD rose.

2. The Union is making an alliance with the AfD: That would be the only coalition that would have a majority in addition to black and red. The Union has already categorically excluded cooperation with the right wing party.

3. The Union rules alone: ​​Minority governments that work with changing majorities are only considered to be an emergency solution for transition phases in Germany because they are considered unstable. The best example is the current red-green minority government that has ruled since the breakdown of the traffic light coalition.

4. It is re-elected: This would mean a further extension of the hanging area that has been available half a year since the break of the traffic light coalition-and that in an extremely uncertain world situation. Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD )’s only managing minority government would continue to rule for months without being fully able to act. And in the end there could be an election result that makes government formation even more complicated. The AfD cut out for the first time in a survey on the Bundestag election as the strongest party last week.

CDU will vote on the coalition agreement in the event of a small party congress

So far, only the CSU has accepted the coalition agreement with a board decision. The CDU’s approval is still missing. The Merz party will decide on April 28 at a small party congress. The chancellor’s election in the Bundestag and the swearing -in of the entire cabinet is planned for May 6th.