Head of state: forecast: head-to-head race in the presidential election in Poland

After the first forecasts, a head-to-head race is emerging in the runoff election around the presidential office in Poland. The liberal candidate Rafal Trzaskowski therefore accounted for 50.3 percent of the votes, and his right -wing conservative rival Karol Nawrocki received 49.7 percent.

Both politicians showed themselves to be sure of victory in front of their followers. Trzaskowski spoke of success immediately after the announcement of the first forecasts. “We won, even if I think the expression” on the razor blade “will find its way into the Polish language,” said the 53-year-old under the cheers of his followers. At the Nawrocki election party, the mood was much more steamed. He appealed to his supporters not to lose hope. “We have to win that night and we know that this will happen.”

The forecasts are based on post -selection surveys in around 500 polling stations. According to the IPSOS opinion research institute, you have an error tolerance of two percentage points. There are no minor bills like in Germany in Poland. The official end result is expected on Monday morning.

The approximately 29 million voters were called to choose a successor to President Andrzej Duda. He was not allowed to compete again after two term.

The vote is considered a choice of direction for the EU and NATO country Poland. The non -party Nawrocki is the candidate of the right -wing conservative PIS, Poland’s largest opposition party. The PIS ruled the country from 2015 to 2023. It put the judiciary to the scandaral of politics and was in the long -term clinch with Brussels because of this intervention.

Donald Tusk’s Mitte-left-left alliance, which has been ruling since December 2023, tried to reject a lot of it with reform projects. But the previous President Duda, who comes from the ranks of the PIS, had slowed her down with his veto. Tusk does not have the necessary majority of 60 percent in parliament to abolish the president’s vetos.

The Polish head of government therefore hopes for an election victory of his political colleague Trzaskowski. The 53-year-old Warsaw Mayor is considered progressive and left within his political camp. As head of state, he would support Tusk’s course.

President with a lot of power

In Poland, the President serves five years. The head of state has more powers than the Federal President in Germany. It not only represents the country to the outside world. The President also has an impact on foreign policy, he appoints the head of government and the cabinet and is a high -commander of the Polish armed forces in the event of war. Above all, however, he can make life difficult for the government with his veto law.