Argentina-France is the “most likely” final in Qatar, according to a Brazilian simulator

As long as and despite “he will probably face more difficulties to reach the decisive match” the report notes that the selection of Brazil is the one that has “more chances of winning the title if he manages to reach the final, according to the model”.

The bank’s studio XP points to selections Hollandwith a (18.8%) chance; Argentina (18.4%), France (17.4%), Belgium (16.7%), England (15.7%), Brazil (15.4%), Spain (14.2%) and Denmark (11.1%), in that order, like the eight with “more possibilities” to reach the final.

But the simulation indicates that, in case they reach the final, the ones with the best chances of winning the title are Brazil (63%), Argentina (61%), Spain (59%), Holland (56.7%), Belgium (51.2%), France (48.7%), Denmark (48.2%), Germany (47.1%) and England (46.1%).

“According to our simulations, the five teams with the best chances of going to the finals are Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Spain and the Netherlands. For comparison purposes, betting sites include Argentina, Brazil and Spain among the favourites. , but they also put France and England in the top five with the best chances.”he claimed XP in his studio.

Another conclusion is that the Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Spain, France, the Netherlands and Portugal they will probably advance “without difficulties” to the round of 16, according to the study.

The mathematical model -according to its creators- took into account different variables, including the characteristics of each National Team, its location in the different world classifications -including that of the FIFA-, their performance in recent matches, their history of results when faced with each other and the possible crossings from the positions in their groups.