And the calculations match the betting odds: Brazil wins the cup and becomes world champion for the sixth time. While the percentages differ, the bottom line is the same, according to calculations by the University of Oxford, data company Nielsen and football statistics experts at We Global Football. In all three scenarios there is a Superclasico in the semifinals, which Brazil wins against Argentina. This was followed twice (Oxford, Nielsen) by a final win over Belgium and once over Portugal.
In concrete terms, current data on the respective national teams is fed into forecasts of this type. This is one of the reasons why Brazil, Belgium and Argentina are doing so well after strong performances in recent years. If the machine is supplied with data, the course of the tournament is simulated. The outcomes that emerge at the end are the most likely outcomes. Probably the biggest surprise in the predictions is that Iran will beat the USA and Wales in two out of three models and reach the round of 16 for the first time.
Source: Nachrichten

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