The fires in Córdoba and the veto on universities confront Javier Milei with the hard core of the voters of La Libertad Avanza
From New York to the ashes of Cordovathe main electoral stronghold of Freedom Advances. Javier Milei He will resume his domestic agenda today with a visit to the areas devastated by the fires together with Guillermo Francos and Karina Milei while the deadline for him to sign his second presidential veto runs. The first was on retirement mobility, and now it will be the turn of the universities where the under 25 electorate nests, the hard core of the libertarian vote.
While the image in the polls is falling, with an abrupt collapse in the last month of almost 15% according to the index of confidence in the Government prepared by the Di Tella University, the President faces a delicate internal situation in political matters, one year before the legislative elections. The nationalization of the fires in Córdoba exposed first Martín Llaryora and now Javier Milei. Both share the same electorate. La Libertad Avanza won the October 2023 runoff with 74.05% of the votes compared to 25.94% for Unión por la Patria.
Cordoba, a libertarian bastion
Córdoba was the district where Milei had the best electoral performance and where he won more than a million votes from Kirchnerism in the presidential elections. This explains the arrival in the Government of officials from Córdoba such as the ousted Osvaldo Giordano in ANSES, Franco Mogetta in Transport and Daniel Tilard in Banco Nación, among others. La Libertad Avanza has already been established as a party in that province and is now under the command of Gabriel Bornoroni under the supervision of Karina Milei and Martín Menem.
With the campaign already looming, and with Milei ready for the event on Saturday in Parque Lezama where he will present La Libertad Avanza as a national force, the President will visit Córdoba so as not to neglect his electorate after having paid the political cost of the veto of the law to improve salaries for retirees. The government still enjoys, despite the fall in the polls, competitive levels of support in public opinion in view of the legislative elections. But in Casa Rosada there is concern about the abrupt downward trend that the government began to experience in the midst of the recession, rising unemployment and rising inflation.
Javier Milei’s Budget
Milei returns to the country with Córdoba in flames and the university conflict in full escalation. Added to this is the start of the debate on the 2025 Budget, now delayed until the second week of October in the Budget and Finance Committee of José Luis Espert.
The governors sent Luis Caputo to redo the public works annex in addition to the public clarification that they demanded from Guillermo Francos regarding the adjustment amount of USD 60 billion claimed by Milei to the provinces. The Government needs to approve the Budget to maintain the still shaky confidence of the markets that are closely watching what effect the lifting of the restrictions could have on the exchange rate and the inflationary process. The IMF is also closely watching the political sustainability of the fiscal adjustment carried out by the government.
The CGT joined, as did ATE, the mobilization of the universities called for October 2. Tomorrow and Friday there will be a national strike against the imminent veto of the educational financing law announced by Milei. Unlike the veto of the retirees, when the President obtained the immediate support of Mauricio Macri through a statement from the PRO, this time the silence of the leader of the yellow party is deafening. The 10-day deadline for the head of State to veto the law sanctioned by Congress to update the expenses of public universities on a bi-monthly basis expires on October 3, one day after the mobilization called by the educational sector.
The votes of Freedom Advance
The hard core of the volatile electorate of La Libertad Avanza lives in universities, as in Córdoba. Milei swept the vote among under 25s, especially in the group of men who are informal workers who have recently entered the labour market and who belong to public universities.
A veto against the law on educational financing, which, as in the case of retirees, is an attack on its own electorate. Furthermore, unlike the veto on retirement mobility, the conflict with universities confronts the Government with a conflict in the streets with a different tone in the social actor involved and more sustainable over time.
Source: Ambito
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