According to the last calculations of ESA and NASA, the impact probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 with the Earth in 2032 increased. The scientific community intensified its surveillance on the trajectory of the celestial body since its size could generate serious damage in case of impact on Earth.
The European Space Agency (THAT) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) They updated their calculations on the probability that the Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the earth on 2032. Currently, probability It is 2.3%, which represents a significant increase with respect to 1.2% estimated above. While the possibility of an impact remains low, its increase generated concern and led to intensive monitoring of its trajectory.
This asteroid, some 50 meters in diametercould represent a local threat if it falls into a populated area. Although the calculations indicate that the body is most likely to pass by, the space agencies are taking measures to study their orbit and anticipate any change in their trajectory.
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Intensive asteroid trajectory monitoring
He Coordination Center of objects close to the Earth of ESA intensified their efforts to track the Asteroid 2024 YR4performing daily updates about your position. This light blue body, which has a estimated diameter of between 40 and 90 metersit is large enough to generate concern, although its size does not make it a immediate global threat. Its classification of Level 3 on the Turin Scale It indicates that it is an object of interest due to its potential to impact the earth, although the probability that this happens remains low.
As more data is collected, the prediction of your orbitin order to provide a more precise evaluation about your future.
To address this challenge, both That like NASA redoubled their efforts, using Advanced telescopes to observe the asteroid trajectory from multiple angles. The use of Space and terrestrial technology It allows more detailed monitoring and the possibility of making constant adjustments in the calculations.
In addition, both agencies are working collaboratively to provide precise and updated information To the scientific community, ensuring that appropriate measures are taken if the probability of impact increases in the future. This joint approach aims to reduce any uncertainty about Potential threat and guarantee an adequate response to a possible risk.
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The local impact and associated risks
In case the Asteroid 2024 YR4 The earth would impact, the experts said that it would not cause a Global catastrophebut could generate serious damage to the local level. If it fell on a city or densely populated areathe consequences would be devastating, although the probability that this happened It remained minimal. The Exact Asteroid Trajectory He was still involved in uncertainty, which made it difficult to precisely foresee his possible impacts. However, space agencies began to coordinate international efforts To study and mitigate any Risk associated with this celestial body.
As the Evolution of the trajectory of 2024 YR4, the updates will provide a clearer image About his Impact risk in 2032.
Source: Ambito
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