In this way, scientists began a counterreloj career to determine the Final trajectory that the asteroid will have and, in this way, to be able to confirm whether it will impact our planet. According to the initial calculations, in the event of the collision, the collision will take place December 22, 2032.
The deadline that scientists have to determine whether asteroid 2024 YR4 will impact the earth
The asteroid was detected by the Last Sterrestrial Asteroid Alert System (ATLAS) From a telescope in Chile. Its estimated size of between 40 and 100 meters classifies it within objects that could cause significant damage at the local level in case of impact.
As detailed, the deadline imposed is directly related to the trajectory of the rock body. In this way, the asteroid will no longer be visible and scientists must wait until a new opportunity is presented to observe and be able to study their career thoroughly.
This New opportunity will only emerge in 2028when asteroid 2024 YR4 will once again pass thousands of kilometers from Earth, following its 4 -year orbit in the Solar System. This will be the last opportunity that experts will have to determine the collision chances, before the hypothetical visit of the rock body at the end of 2032.
Juan Luis Cano, Coordinator of the Information Service of the ESA Planetary Defense Office, said: “Today we continue having almost 98% probability that it does not impact, but it is essential to continue collecting data”
The increase in the probabilities of impact of asteroid 2024 YR4
The European Space Agency (ESA) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) They updated their calculations on the probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the earth in 2032. As detailed, the collision possibilities are located in 2.3%, which represents a significant increase with respect to 1.2% estimated above.
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Chile Government
This asteroid can represent a local threat if it falls into a populated area. Although the calculations indicate that most likely the body passspace agencies from different parts of the world are taking measures to study your orbit and provide any change in your career.
To address this complex challenge, Both ESA and NASA redoubled their effortsusing advanced telescopes to observe the asteroid trajectory from multiple angles. The use of space and land technology allows a more detailed monitoring and the possibility of making constant adjustments in the calculations.
In addition, both agencies are working collaboratively to Provide precise and updated information to the scientific communityensuring that appropriate measures are taken if the probability of impact increases in the future. This joint approach aims to reduce any uncertainty about the potential threat and guarantee an adequate response to possible risk.
Alert for the asteroid that threatens the earth: they revealed where I could impact
Known as 2024 YR4, the asteroid Discovered last December 27 by the Atlas Networka space monitoring system and, based on the Turin scale (Instrument created by scientists to measure the virulence of asteroids), is at a level 3.
According to NASA’s space activity analysts, the asteroid will travel the solar system and will eventually reach the orbit of Mars and Jupiter with an approach to planet Earth at its closest point than 106 kilometers away.
As for the places of possible impact on the earth and its consequences, NASA indicated that The Eastern Pacific Ocean arises as the main site and that an impact here could produce great magnitude tsunamis. Another region that would be affected by an eventual impact is the north of South America. More precisely Colombia, Venezuela and Ecuador.
With lower impact chances appear in the list made by the El Oceano scientific community Atlantic, Africa (Nigeria, Cameroon and the Democratic Republic of the Congo), the Arabic Sea and the mountainous areas of India and Bangladesh.
In the event that asteroid 2024 YR4 came to impact the Earth, experts said that it would not cause a global catastrophe, but yes It could generate serious damage at the local level. If it fell on a densely populated city or area, the consequences would be devastating, although the probability that this happened remained minimal.
Source: Ambito
I’m a recent graduate of the University of Missouri with a degree in journalism. I started working as a news reporter for 24 Hours World about two years ago, and I’ve been writing articles ever since. My main focus is automotive news, but I’ve also written about politics, lifestyle, and entertainment.
