The National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) will announce this Friday the inflation February, which will be located again above 2%, exhibiting an acceleration with respect to the previous measurement by greater pressure of food prices.
After having registered in January the lowest level in almost five years, when presenting a rise of 2.2% year -on -year, and resume the deceleration path after December, analysts estimate that the CPI (consumer price index) in February in February It would have reflected a rhythm above the previous month.
Inflation: What is the expectation of market analysts
The survey of market expectations (REM), which the Central Bank elaborates based on private estimates, foresee in its latest February report that the inflation of the second month of 2025 would be around 2.1%. The data estimated a slight decline but the entity still did not publish the final average after the end of the month.
The balance report indicated that Monthly inflation reached 2.5%which implies a rise of 0.3 percentage points compared to January, registering the main increases in housing, water, electricity and other fuels (4.3%), restaurants and hotels (4.2%) and alcoholic beverages and tobacco (3.2%). The interannual variation was estimated at 67%.
Ecogo Consultores, meanwhile, estimated that last month inflation reached 2.7%, with an average variation in food and drinks that climbed 3.8%1.7 percentage points above what is recorded the previous month.
In this regard, they said that “the rises in the price of the meat marked the tonic of the month, leading to register a marked acceleration of prices.” The meat values shot 7.8% in their measurement.
The Libertad y Progreso Foundation estimated that Inflation closed in 2.3%just 0.1 percentage points above the official data of January. In this way, in the first bimester of the year, accumulated inflation is 4.6%, substantially less than 36.6% accumulated in the first two -month period of 2024.
As for the interannual variation, The report reflected that it reached 66.7%marking the tenth consecutive deceleration and the second below 100%, after having broken that barrier last January when it was 84.5%.
From freedom and progress they explained that “during the first half of the month, the CPI recorded increases below January, which led to thinking about a slowdown in inflation” but stated that “in the second part of February, increases were recorded above the expected.”
In that regard, they agreed with the survey of Eco Go by the food and particularly the greatest incidence of acceleration by indicating that indicating that “A good part of this is explained by increases in food and non -alcoholic beverages, particularly in meat, whose increase was greater than 7%. ”
In this sense, the prices report in the popular neighborhoods of the City of Buenos Aires that the Institute for Social, Economic and Political Research (Iseepci) prepares that In February, food climbed 5.12%.
Source: Ambito
