The Frente Amplio’s favorite candidate would prevail against the former Secretary of the Presidency, according to the latest Cifra poll.
The former mayor of cannelloni and pre-candidate for Broad Front, Yamandú Orsiis shown as a favorite in the event that the October elections turn into a runoff between the two candidates with the most votes in November, where he would beat the favorite candidate of the National Party, Alvaro Delgado.
According to a Cifra survey, Alvaro Delgado He is the favorite of the whites, so he would become the presidential candidate. However, at the time of the general elections and even a possible runoff, the scene darkens for the former Secretary of the Presidency.
According to the survey, in case of going against the pre-candidate and former mayor of Montevideo, Carolina Cosse, A tie would be reached, with 45% of the votes each, while the other 10% have not yet decided who they would vote for or have already decided that they would not vote for either of the two candidates.
However, the situation changes if Delgado faces Orsi. In the event that the former mayor of cannelloni reach the runoff with the white candidate, he would win by 50%, while his opponent would get 39% of the total votes. Meanwhile, 11% still do not know who to vote for or have already decided that they would not vote for either of the two candidates.
The survey was carried out between May 16 and 28 among a total of 1,503 adults and was carried out by telephone.
Orsi, the inmates’ favorite
According to a survey presented by Factum, the internal Wide Front It is the most “fought”, although Orsi has an advantage Carolina Cosse that begins to seem insurmountable. With 54% of voting intention absorbed by the former mayor of Cannelloni, the communal chief of Montevideo must close a distance of 16 points. These figures remained unchanged from the last survey, and although the margin of error for both candidates is around 5 points – both positive and negative -, in the best of cases the difference would remain 5 points.
In this race, the most even between the parties, the number of people who turn out to vote on June 30 will be key. Cosse will have more opportunities in the scenario where only the hard core of the Broad Front militancy attends the elections.
For his part, the mayor of Salto, Andrés Lima, it grew 2 points since the previous survey, but is still far from the other candidates, with just 8%; although this result brings him closer to his parliamentary objectives.
Source: Ambito
