He Broad Front maintains its advantage against the coalition in the face of the elections 2024, ranking with 43% of voting intention and six points above the sum of the ruling party’s parties, according to the latest survey by Consulting Teams.
During the campaign strategy period, the consultancy firm revealed that the FA fell one point in the last month, while the Multicolor Coalition fell by two, while there was an increase in the undecided, which grew by three percentage points and reached 15%, being those who will change the course of the vote.
The survey, conducted between July 17 and 30 with a mixed methodology to 1,207 people over 18 years of age from all over the country, positioned the Broad Front with 43%, while the National Party fell four points and reached 22%; Colorado Party grew two points again, reaching 11%; Open Town Hall remained at 3%; and both the Independent Party as Sovereign Identity reached 1%.
The comparison with 2019
A highlight, in addition to the improvement of the PC to the detriment of the PN, is the comparison of the 2024 elections with those of 2019, with an overwhelmingly favorable scenario for the FA, which grew 13 percentage points compared to the voting intention of 30% in July of that year.
Instead, the coalition has fallen by 11 points, going from 48% at that time to the current percentage. To get to that situation, the National Party and the Colorado Party They fell back four points, while Open Town Hall three others.
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The undecided, the key to the 2024 elections
Knowing that the undecided can be the ones who tip the balance to one side or the other in a vote, Equipos Consultores specifically analyzed this category by sex (56% of women and 44% of men), region (60% of inside and 40% of Montevideo) and age (28% aged 30 to 49; and 24% aged 18 to 29, 50 to 64, and over 65).
In political terms, this group perceives the economic situation of the country as “neither good nor bad” and have a high approval of the way the president is performing Luis Lacalle Pou, with 57% approving and 16% not.
When asked if they would vote for the various candidates or if they would never do so, Alvaro Delgado leads with 56%, closely followed by Yamandú Orsi (50%). Further back appear Andres Ojeda (44%), Pablo Mieres (32%) and Guido Manini Rios (27%).
One of the most common characteristics of the undecided is that politics does not interest them very much, as three out of four (74%) admit that it interests them “a little” or “not at all”, with 24% saying that it matters to them “quite a bit” or “a lot”. This will precisely be the biggest challenge for political parties in October and, eventually, November.
Source: Ambito
