“Only stagnation this year”: Bank Austria lowers GDP forecast

“Only stagnation this year”: Bank Austria lowers GDP forecast

Construction and industry continue to be the biggest problem children of the domestic economy.
Stefan Bruckbauer, Chief Economist Bank Austria

The hoped-for upturn did not materialize: At the beginning of the second half of the year, the mood in the Austrian economy deteriorated. This is evident from the current economic indicator from Bank Austria. The prospect of an imminent recovery of the domestic economy has been pushed back significantly,” says Stefan Bruckbauer, chief economist at the bank.

The forecast for gross domestic product (GDP) was therefore lowered from 0.3 to 0.0 percent. “For the Austrian economy, only stagnation is in sight this year,” says Bruckbauer.

  • Read here: IHS: Economic growth until 2028 “modest”

Growth of around 1.5 percent is expected for 2025. It is assumed that the global economy will recover due to the loosened monetary policy. This year, however, uncertainty is still dominated by geopolitical crises, high cost increases and the deterioration of the labor market.

“The assumption that the recovery in many service sectors, driven by the decline in inflation and the strong increases in real wages, can have a positive impact on the economy in industry and construction and thus trigger a noticeable recovery in the domestic economy, has not yet been fulfilled,” says Bruckbauer.

Stefan Bruckbauer, Chief Economist Bank Austria
Image: Lukas Bezila

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Stefan Bruckbauer, Chief Economist Bank Austria
Image: Lukas Bezila

Source: Nachrichten

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