The economist estimated the value that the currency would reach when the exchange market is unified and explained why he does not expect a sharp jump in the exchange rate.
The economist Miguel Kiguel analyzed the exchange stage for the coming months and estimated how much the dollar In the end of 2025, in the context of a possible unification of the exchange market promoted by the government of Javier Milei.
“The Government already said that the stocks will be taken before the end of the year. No one knows exactly where the dollar will go, but $ 1,200, a devaluation of 15%, would not be a bad number, ”he said.
Kiguel said that this rises “would not generate much inflation nor would it be worrying for people” and that “it should not cause a significant exchange noise.”
What do analysts say about the dollar in 2025
Kiguel’s projections, which spoke with now Play, coincide with the estimates of several financial consultants and international banks.
According to the last survey of market expectations (REM) of the Central Bank (BCRA), analysts expect a change rate of $ 1.201 in December 2025.
For its part, a Bank of America (Bofa) report projects that the currency could reach the $ 1,400in the event that the Government specifies an agreement with the IMF and receives new disbursements from the agency.
Meanwhile, the consensus of 50 Consultants and Private Banks who participate in Latinfocus consensus forecast, it provides that the Wholesale dollar reaches $ 1,348while the parallel exchange rate would be around $ 1,332.
When will the stocks get up?
Although Milei ratified his intention to eliminate exchange restrictions before the end of the year, the measure will depend on the accumulation of reserves and financial stability. Analysts warn that a messy exit could generate volatility, but the Government is committed to the process being carried out without shocks.
Source: Ambito
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