Russia and Ukraine agree on ceasefire for humanitarian corridor. Relief supplies are to be delivered, civilians are allowed to flee. But some fear serious consequences.
During the Ukraine war, it was agreed to set up a humanitarian corridor in the region around the southern Ukrainian port city of Mariupol. There the guns should be silent, at least temporarily.
This should make it possible to bring relief supplies to the besieged area. Civilians can leave the city and seek safety elsewhere. But the aftermath could be devastating, as a look into the past shows.
What do the parties to the conflict expect?
Ukrainian authorities expect more than 200,000 people to leave Mariupol in the Donetsk region during the ceasefire. That would be almost half the population. 15,000 people are expected for the city of Wolnowacha, said Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Wereshchuk. The evacuation should take place in stages over several days, it said. Buses will be provided for this. The two cities are considered focal points in the region. According to the authorities, the infrastructure has been largely destroyed.
Where are the corridors planned – and for how long?
The most important escape corridor is the route from Mariupol to Zaporizhia, about 225 kilometers. For their own safety, people are urged not to deviate from the route agreed between the Ukrainian and Russian armies. The evacuation should take place over several days. In addition to city buses, residents could leave the city with their own cars. “Take as many people with you as possible,” the city appealed.
How are the corridors legally regulated?
Irrespective of such corridors, international humanitarian law obliges all parties to a conflict to protect the civilian population, wounded soldiers or prisoners. In principle, according to the Geneva Conventions, hospitals are to be protected from attacks. To do this, the opponents exchange the locations of the medical facilities. In addition, medical and safety zones can be set up by mutual agreement. This is regulated in the “Geneva Convention for the Protection of Civilian Persons in Time of War”.
In addition, warring parties can also agree not to bother the transport of the wounded or aid along certain corridors by recognized humanitarian actors such as aid organizations. Water, food, medicines, medical supplies and everyday goods can be brought into the conflict region, while civilians are able to leave the contested areas. Contrary to an agreed ceasefire, fighting continues around the corridors.
However, according to the Federal Government’s Advisory Council on Civilian Crisis Prevention and Peacebuilding, humanitarian corridors are not aimed directly at protecting the population. But they could help reduce violence. There is no independent authority that could enforce respect for these corridors.
How do experts assess the ceasefire?
The CDU defense politician Henning Otte sees a chance in ceasefires and humanitarian supplies: These could “become an open window for a ceasefire and for negotiations,” he said on Deutschlandfunk on Saturday.
According to former NATO general Egon Ramms, however, a ceasefire also harbors the risk that one side will reorganize its troops and prepare for military operations. Then there is the possibility of “regrouping forces or tracking forces” without a relative threat to the other side and to organize supplies for supplies, Ramms said on Saturday in the ARD “Morgenmagazin”.
The International Red Cross welcomes initiatives such as corridors that could help keep civilians safe. “But these would have to be very well planned, very well coordinated and very well communicated,” says a spokesman for the German Press Agency. That can be a difficult task at times. The aid organization also draws attention to the fact that despite such measures, “civilians should not be the target of hostilities under any circumstances”.
Have such measures worked in the past?
It is not the first time that Russia has asked a local population to leave a contested area. This had sometimes devastating consequences. In the northern Syrian rebel stronghold of Aleppo, for example, there were repeated ceasefires lasting several days in 2016. Heavy attacks by the Syrian troops and massive air strikes by the Russian allies follow later. Damascus ultimately takes control of a completely devastated city.
And so it was in Grozny, the capital of the then breakaway Russian republic of Chechnya. In December 1999, Moscow called on civilians to leave the Caucasus city within a few days via safe corridors. After more weeks of bitter fighting, the infrastructure is completely destroyed.
Source: Stern
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