Brandenburg election: AfD ahead in polls, but SPD just behind

Brandenburg election: AfD ahead in polls, but SPD just behind

One week before the Brandenburg election, opinion polls put the AfD ahead. The SPD follows closely behind and continues to catch up – because Woidke is more popular than the challengers.

A good week before the state election in Brandenburg, the AfD is ahead of the SPD in two new polls – but only just in one case. In the ZDF Politbarometer Extra, the AfD is at 29 percent, ahead of the SPD with 26 percent.

In the ARD Deutschlandtrend, the AfD is only one percentage point ahead of the SPD with 27 percent. Above all, this ARD survey shows that the SPD has recently managed to catch up by three percentage points. In addition, the differences are roughly within the margin of error that such surveys entail.

Half of those surveyed want an SPD-led government

In addition, SPD Prime Minister Dietmar Woidke can clearly rely on the incumbency bonus: more than half of those surveyed for ZDF (55 percent) would prefer him to the other top candidates. 7 percent are in favor of Hans-Christoph Berndt from the AfD, 11 percent for Jan Redmann (CDU) and only 1 percent for Robert Crumbach (BSW).

Overall, every second person surveyed by both ARD and ZDF pollsters said that the SPD should also lead the next state government. The SPD has governed Brandenburg since 1990 with changing partners, and since 2019 with the CDU and the Greens. Woidke has announced that he wants to retire from state politics if the SPD does not come out on top in the election.

All others are well behind in the Brandenburg election

In both opinion polls, the other parties are significantly behind. The CDU is at 15 and 16 percent respectively. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) is at 13 to 14 percent. The Greens, at 4.5 to 5 percent, have to worry about being re-elected to the state parliament. BVB/Free Voters are at 3 to 4.5 percent. The Left is at 3 to 4 percent.

About three quarters of those surveyed said they had already decided who they would vote for. The rest were undecided.

Source: Stern

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