Citizenship election: Politbarometer: SPD in Hamburg in front, Greens behind CDU

According to a survey, the SPD is still clearly ahead shortly before the Hamburg election of Hamburg this Sunday. The Social Democrats come to 33 percent in the ZDF polit barometer, one percentage point more than in the survey two weeks ago. The second strongest force is therefore the CDU with unchanged 18 percent of the votes, in front of the Greens, which lose two percentage points and come to 17 percent in the survey.

In 2020, the SPD won the citizens’ election with 39.2 percent of the vote. The Greens became the second strongest force with 24.2 percent. With 11.2 percent, the CDU drove its worst result in the Hanseatic city.

In the political barometer, the left scores significantly better than two weeks ago and reaches 12 percent, three percent more. The AfD remains 9 percent.

This results in several ways to conclude government alliances. A common majority would continue to have the SPD and the Greens who carry the incumbent Senate. According to the political barometer, a coalition of the SPD and CDU would also be possible, very narrowly also an alliance of the SPD and left.

In the representative survey, the research group elections for the ZDF asked 1st and Thursday 1,046 random voters in Hamburg by phone and online. Election surveys are generally always affected with uncertainties. Among other things, waning party bindings and more and more short -term election decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes the weighting of the data collected.

The research group elections sees statistical fault tolerance of a good two percentage points with a share value of 10 percent and a good three percentage points with a share value of 40 percent. Basically, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not forecasts on the election outcome.