USA: different polls reflect a possible tie between Trump and Harris in the presidential elections

USA: different polls reflect a possible tie between Trump and Harris in the presidential elections

Just 10 days before new elections are held presidential elections in the United Statessurveys from two prestigious North American media detail a technical tie between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris.

The diary The New York Times published the data obtained through the Siena Collegewhere Harris would get 49%, while Trump would get 48%. These numbers reflect a very close election, which, taking into account the margin of error, could mean a tie. As for the swing states – those that do not have a clear candidate in the polls – four are led by the vice president while three would be led by the former president. Furthermore, they revealed that in Minnesota, New Hampshire and VirginiaHarris leads by 6 points; as well as Trump in Texas, Florida and Ohio.

This way, The poll shows a possible 276 electoral votes for Kamala Harrisso the majority would pass (270) and would lead Donald Trump, which would get 262. However, those numbers could change, so nothing is said yet.

The other survey was published by cnn and carried out by the company SSRSwhere 1,704 voters were consulted. the same It reflected a tie between both candidates, with 47%. In addition, they highlighted that in the previous elections where Trump ran, he scored several points in the polls, something that does not happen this time.

In Georgia, the vote of African-American men swings Kamala Harris’ campaign

Recently, Kamala Harris visited the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin next to Liz Cheney in an attempt to capture votes from moderate Republicans and independent voters. Harris also released an economic plan that proposes forgivable loans for African-American entrepreneurs and small businesses, in addition to legalizing recreational marijuana, among other proposals. Both supports can be decisive for the Democrat.

Georgia, in the southeastern United States, will be one of the decisive places in the November 5 elections. The president Joe Biden defeated Trump by just 11,779 votes in 2020 in this state, where African Americans now represent about a third of people with the right to vote.

For this reason some polls recent ones have made the alarms for the Harris campaign. According to a survey this week, Atlanta Journal-Constitutionthe Democrat gets a 73.8% support among African Americans in Georgia compared to 7.6% for Trump.

Although it is a positive figure for Harris, it is located well below the 88% support that Biden achieved among that electorate four years ago. A national survey of New York Times/Siena College suggested this month that the further loss of support occurs between african american men.

While 70% of them have decided to vote for Harris, black women are at 83%. Following those polls, Harris announced a “opportunity agenda for black men“.

His campaign has also mobilized the former president Barack Obamawho accompanied her on Thursday at a rally near Atlanta with the singer Bruce Springsteen. The Republicans, for their part, are trying to capitalize on the disappointment of part of that electorate with the Democrats.

The Afro community, one of Donald Trump’s votes

Preston Paris He is African American, 19 years old, and a college student. His family supports the Democrats, but this student from Atlanta (Georgia) will go for the Republican candidate Donald Trump.

“I trust Trump (…) He plans to lower rates, reduce taxes on large companies, which can benefit people like me,” he admitted. Close to him, JP, a 23-year-old studentgo to upcoming elections as “a matter of life and death”. The economy was much better when Trump was president, he says, but his support has more to do with his christian faith.

Like him, the most religious electorate thanks the billionaire for appointing several of the conservative judges of the Supreme Court that They annulled the federal right to abortion in 2022. “Trump is the one who is most aligned with the Bible, with my beliefs,” JP summarizes.

In a pizzeria in Atlanta, Mark Boyda 45-year-old African-American former military man, wants the elections to happen as soon as possible. He voted for Obama in 2008 but, after disillusionment with politics, this time he does not plan to support any candidate.

“There is a long disappointment with the Democratic Party (…) We feel ignored“says Boyd, co-founder of an NGO for young people. “On issues like gentrification or ghettos, the situation is the same under a Democratic or Republican government,” he added.

For Jarrod Grantprofessor of Political Science at the Clark Atlanta UniversityAfrican Americans are no longer willing to blindly give their support to a party as they once did. Now they ask “what are you going to do for black people,” he explains. “We blacks (…) have been helping everyone else, except ourselves. And everyone gets something, but not the blacks,” he adds.

Source: Ambito

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