Record in the elections in the United States: more than 57 million people have already voted in advance

Nails 57 million people have already voted early in the presidential elections USA. With 6 days left until election day, the figure is expected to increase noticeably as the days go by. The Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and the republican donald trump They will define who will be the next leader of the country.

This is a record number in the history of the country if the 2020 election is excepted, in the midst of a pandemic, when for health reasons 101 million people voted early.

The figure, collected daily by the institution, is broken down as follows: 30,233,685 They personally went to the authorized voting centers, including the president Joe Biden, while 27,179,332 They did it by mail, sending the ticket elected to the corresponding jurisdiction. Nails 65,972,572 They requested the ballot to be able to vote in advance.

Record early voting in the United States elections

In the 2020 presidential elections, while the COVID-19 pandemic Covid-19 hit the world and the vaccines had not yet been distributed, there were a total of 101,453,111 Americans who voted early. Nails 35,811,062 they did it in person and 65,642,049 through absentee ballot.

Although the current number does not exceed that of that moment, the particularity of the moment must be taken into account: health reasons encouraged early voting. For this reason, it is appropriate to compare the current situation with the records of other presidential elections, such as the 2016 when some 47,242,753 (38.8%) of voters did so in advance. It is about ten million voters less than today.

During the legislative elections of 2022, 47% of citizens voted in advance. Percentage-wise, they are the second elections with the highest early voting (below the 69.2% of the pandemic). However, the number of citizens was below that of 2016 with 45,920,446.

Further back in time, in the presidential elections of 2012 in which Barack Obama was imposed on Mitt Rommey There were 46,220,922 early votes. In relation to the total vote, the figure represented 31.8%, according to the Elections Laboratory of the University of Florida.

In the legislative elections of 2010, 24% paid in advance. At that time, total electoral participation was low, standing at just 45.5% of those eligible. On the other hand, in the presidential elections of 2008, where Barack Obama defeated John McCain, Of the 129,085,410 total votes, 29.7% did so in advance, a figure that is around 42 million.

During the midterm elections of 2006 was 80,975,537 of total votes. Only 18.5% did so by mail or in person in advance. In the presidential elections of 2004 in which George Bush re-elected before John Kerry 122,295,345 voted: barely 20% voted early. While in the midterm elections of 2002 and the presidential elections of 2000 (Bush vs Al Gore) The percentage of early voting ranged between 14% and 14.2%, out of 105,405,100 total votes.

United States elections: what data to look at to analyze early vote participation

“The most important fact to know about early voting is that Election Day Voters Are Markedly Different From Early Voters. In general, early voting is a blue wave and election day is a red wave“explains mcdonald, in reference to the primacy democrat in the advance count on the republicans.

In any case, clarify that if the democrats they lead the early voting, As often happens, that “no guarantee that Republican Election Day voters won’t flood early voting“. However, “If Democrats are losing early voting, as they did in the 2022 Florida midterms, that is almost certainly a sign that Republicans will win.”

The University of Florida professor gives other guidelines to take into account when analyzing electoral participation. On the one hand, the states where voting is done by mail “are the best for observing and predicting participation and winners.” California, Colorado, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont and Washington, plus the D.C.are those who make their elections mainly by mail.

At the same time, he explains that the moment is important. “Mail voting typically occurs before in-person early voting, and partisans tend to use these two voting methods at different rates. Don’t read too much into the statistics until a generous number of in-person early votes have been cast. We’ll have our best look at the election from early voting a week before Election Day“he says.