Orsi and Delgado face each other in the most even instance of the last 30 years

Orsi and Delgado face each other in the most even instance of the last 30 years

November 21, 2024 – 19:42

The presidential candidate of the Frente Amplio and that of the National Party will compete in the closest second round of the 21st century, according to the polls.

He presidential candidate of the Broad Front (FA), Yamandu Orsiand that of National Party (P.N.), Alvaro Delgadowill compete in the closest second round of the last 30 years and of the 21st century, according to what emerges from the most recent polls.

In the latest survey carried out by Factum, the difference in primary voting intention between one candidate and another (margin of error of 3.1%) is 1%, with Orsi ranking with 45% and the representative of the Republican Coalition with 44%. At the same time, with the projection of undecided people, the margin seems even more diffuse and would leave the former mayor of Cannelloni with 47.1% of the votes, and very close to Delgado with 46.6%.

According to the relay broadcast by VTV Noticias, the blank or annulled vote would reach 6% and the undefined votes would remain at 5% 4 days before the last instance of the electoral process. With the projection of undecided voters, the white/cancelled vote would total 6.3%.

The approximation to the vote estimate of Factum, the consultancy that was closest to the final results of the first round, was carried out between November 15 and 19 to 1,011 people from all over the country via mobile phone, with a margin of statistical error of +/- 3.1%.

Slight advantage for the Frente Amplio in an uncertain scenario, according to Opción Consultores

For its part, in its latest telephone survey carried out between November 12 and 20 from 1,580 cases nationwide, Opción Consultores predicts a slight advantage for the FA in an uncertain scenario, with a blank/cancelled vote that would arrive at 4.8%.

The consulting firm estimates a vote for Orsi at around 49.7%, up from 45.5%. However, the minimum confidence interval for Orsi will be 47.5% and the maximum for Delgado will be 47.7% (margin of error +/- 2.2%), something that suggests that the dispute will be more than couple.

Opción Consultores estimates that 86% of those who voted for a party in the Republican Coalition will support Delgado, but that 18% will opt for Orsi in this instance and 3% will cancel their vote. Among the non-aligned parties With neither of the two blocks, 39% lean towards Orsi, 29% towards Delgado and 32% would prefer to annul the vote.

Source: Ambito

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