Bundestag election 2025
Coalition calculator: Which alliances according to projections would have a majority
Which alliance will rule the country after the federal election? Initial records show which coalitions could become majority capable.
Which coalition rules after the early Bundestag elections 2025 Germany? Black and red? Black-green? Whether a two -legged alliance is even capable depends primarily on whether the BSW and the FDP make the leap into the Bundestag. According to projections, the two small parties move sharply at the five percent hurdle.
In our Live ticker for the Bundestag election 2025 We report on the latest news and developments every day.
According to the first projections, you can find out the interactive graphic below.
Coalition calculator: Anyone who would have a majority according to surveys
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Due to their data protection settings, this content was not invited to protect their privacy.
Note on use: The graphic initially shows the first projections on the election evening. You can select or hide individual parties in the menu between the transmitters/institutes. The distribution of seats was calculated based on the surveys according to the Sainte Laguë/Schepers procedure (more on this below).
Overview: Seat distribution in the future Bundestag according to surveys
At this point, our editorial team has integrated the content of dpa infocom.
Due to their data protection settings, this content was not invited to protect their privacy.
The graphic above shows how the Bundestag would compose based on the selected survey. The same data is based on the coalition calculator.
All surveys and graphics for the Bundestag election 2025
Sainte-Laguë/Schepers procedure for the seating calculation
The Sainte-Laguë/Schepers counting procedure has been used since 2009 to determine the distribution of seats after a federal election. First, the number of second votes cast is divided by the total number of seats to be distributed. A preliminary allocation divisor is determined, i.e. the number, through which the respective votes of the parties are shared. The results, i.e. the quotients, are rounded into seat numbers. The following applies: With a rest of more or less than 0.5, it is rounded up or rounded. In the event of a rest of exactly 0.5, the lot decides, according to the Bundestag website. The divisor is determined in such a way that the number of seats in total match the total number of mandates to be awarded.
Sources: Dpa (graphics),
Source: Stern
I have been working in the news industry for over 6 years, first as a reporter and now as an editor. I have covered politics extensively, and my work has appeared in major newspapers and online news outlets around the world. In addition to my writing, I also contribute regularly to 24 Hours World.
